Perhaps he imbibed a dose of Garett Jones?:
Even people who expect human-level AI soon are still seriously underestimating how different the world will look when we have it. Most people are anchoring on how smart they expect individual models to be. (i.e. they’re asking themselves “What would the world be like if everyone had a very smart assistant who could work 24/7?”.)
Everyone is sleeping on the collective advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ but rather with the fact that they are digital—they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled, and evolved at unprecedented speed.
Take a fully automated company. What would this look like, where all the workers and managers are AIs? I claim that AI firms will grow, coordinate, improve, and be selected-for in ways human firms simply can’t.
Here is the full essay, important throughout.
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